Kaeden StanderF1 NET ZERO TRACKER
OverviewRace timelineBreakdown2030 projectionMethodologySources

Independent modelling built on Formula 1’s published sustainability reporting. Not affiliated with Formula 1.

Data adminBuilt byKaeden Stander

Methodology

What is measured, what is modelled

Formula 1 reports its carbon footprint annually at sport level. It does not publish per-race emissions. This dashboard keeps every published annual total intact and distributes it across the calendar using a transparent, reproducible allocation — so the season figures are reported data and the race figures are modelled estimates.

Verdict · How much can we trust this?

Low confidence — 3 seasons are published by F1, 4 are estimated and 6 are forecast. 5 future races are rumoured, not confirmed.

3/13

Seasons published

Allocation model

Applied identically to every season.

  1. Step 1 · Season anchor
    The published or best-estimate season total is taken as fixed. Race figures always sum back to it exactly, so no modelling assumption can inflate or deflate the headline number.
  2. Step 2 · Category split
    The total splits into logistics and freight, business travel, factories and facilities, and event operations, using the shares F1 reports for that season.
  3. Step 3 · Freight weighting
    Each round’s logistics share is weighted by the great-circle distance of the leg from the previous round on the calendar, with a fixed per-event handling floor. Short intra-European legs are discounted because they move by road rather than air.
  4. Step 4 · Travel and events
    Travel is weighted by distance from the UK team base cluster; event operations are weighted by event scale, with marquee rounds carrying a higher operational load. Facility emissions are spread evenly, since factories run year-round regardless of where the race is.

Data status by season

Published means it appears in F1's own reporting. Estimated means it is interpolated between reported points. Projected means it is forward-looking.

SeasonTotal tCO2eStatusNote
2018256,551publishedBaseline footprint published alongside F1's Net Zero by 2030 commitment.
2019252,000estimatedInterpolated between the 2018 baseline and the reported 2022 position; no standalone 2019 total was published.
2020148,000estimatedCOVID-shortened, largely European, spectator-free season. Modelled from the 17-race calendar and not comparable like-for-like.
2021234,000estimatedInterpolated from the reported 2022 reduction and the 22-race calendar.
2022223,199publishedF1 reported a 13% reduction against the 2018 baseline across the 2022 season.
2023217,000estimatedInterpolated between the reported 2022 and 2024 positions.
2024189,848publishedF1 reported a 26% reduction (including sustainable aviation fuel certificates) against the 2018 baseline by the end of 2024.
2025191,379projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.
2026183,171projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.
2027174,710projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.
2028166,992projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.
2029159,677projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.
2030152,481projectedForecast median from log-linear trend of observed seasons.

Every figure traces back to a published document. See all sources.

Limitations

Read the race numbers as indicative, not audited.

  • Per-race figures are an allocation of a reported annual total, not a bottom-up measurement of each event. Two rounds with similar freight legs will look similar even if their real operations differed.
  • Spectator travel sits outside F1’s reported operational boundary and is therefore excluded here, despite being large in absolute terms.
  • The 2018 baseline has been restated by F1 as measurement improved; this dashboard uses the currently published baseline for all comparisons.
  • Seasons after the latest reported year are projections, clearly marked, and should not be quoted as reported figures.

Forecast and future calendars

How 2025–2030 is predicted.

  • Season totals after the latest reported year use the median of a log-linear trend. The trend is fitted to observed seasons, leaving out 2020. Resampling gives an 80% likely range and the odds of meeting the target.
  • Calendars for 2027–2030 come from the official 2027 schedule, confirmed contracts (Spa/Barcelona rotation, Portimão 2027–28, Istanbul from 2027) and reported negotiations (Thailand, Rwanda). Each race is tagged confirmed, likely or rumoured.
  • Rumoured races can be hidden on the race timeline to see their carbon effect.

Final verdict · Methodology

Low confidence — season totals since 2018 are solid. Race-level numbers and anything after the latest report are modelled, so treat them as direction, not fact.

Edit with